NH (St. Anselm): Sununu +8

[kwabbit]

NH tracks pretty closely to the national PV, being a bit rightward in 2016 and a bit leftward in 2020. With Biden's honeymoon period ending and a traditionally midterm dynamic settling in, the fundamentals would indicate a very close race in NH. Given that Sununu is easily a stronger candidate than Hassan, I don't see how you could not have Sununu favored if he runs.