kwabbit
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,978
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« on: March 16, 2021, 09:34:42 PM » |
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I don't think Trump's slightly worse than 2016 performance in WV was particularly surprising in the context of national results.
Trump did a lot worse with college-educated Whites, a tiny bit worse with non-college-educated Whites, a lot better with Hispanics and slightly better with Black voters.
WV's electorate is around 95% White, and Trump did worse with Whites, so Trump should've done worse in WV.
I don't think the GOP has a hit a ceiling in any of the more rural areas of the state, and they should continue to make gains there, but they don't have much room to grow in Kanawha or Monongalia. The growth of the DC metro counties, the only counties in the state that are really growing, will also provide a leftward counterbalance.
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