2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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  2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 175600 times)
kwabbit
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Posts: 2,990


« Reply #50 on: November 06, 2022, 09:27:26 PM »

The west coast results look a bit discordant…especially Mike Levin losing while Salinas wins in OR-06; very weird given what Oregon is looking like atm.

It also does not take into account the apocalyptic rain on Tuesday in SoCal. Not a single soul will dare leave their house or workplace to vote lest they drown in the half inch of precipitation.

The rain is not going to have any effect on any races unless they’re Mike Garcia 2020 close.

The rain WILL DOOM the GOP, ending Young Kim's homophobic tenure in the US House. The general rule of thumb, according to Vance Ulrich, is that 1 inch of rain in SoCal = 6ft in the Northeast. SoCal E-day turnout will be lucky to hit 5% of RV. Young Kim is gone, Michelle Steele is gone, Ken Calvert is gone, Darrell Issa is gone, Mike Garcia is gone. It's over.
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kwabbit
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,990


« Reply #51 on: November 07, 2022, 02:35:31 PM »

The language is a little more complicated, but I still read the implication that Walker could win on the night. And I don’t see that squaring with a CCM win.

Their logic is that they see the GOP winning 51 seats. They were going to choose Laxalt in NV, but they don’t want to contradict Ralston so they’re choosing Walker to compensate.
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