GOP Gubernatorial Victory in California: Is it possible?

[Red Wall]

Very unlikely. Republican wave year with an unpopular governor I'm still expecting a 12 point dem win. That's pretty much the outcome I'd expect from a Kevin Faulconer vs Gavin Newson election. He still should run cause a stronger R candidate helps them downballot. He could run as an independent too. Best case is perform like Carly Fiorina in 2010.