AL-FM3 Research (Jones Internal): Jones +1

[AncestralDemocrat.]

No, but Republicans definitely can’t take this for granted and both parties' internals have been showing the race much closer than public polling. It’s a single-digit race.

Have to disagree..

Jones hasn't even tried to carve himself out a image of bipartisanship, his voting record has been extremely liberal for the state's partisan lean..

Voted against Kavanaugh, voted to convict on both counts, and looks likely to vote against Barrett's nomination..

In a state Trump will win by 20+ points, a margin of 12-15% seems realistic for the senate race.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

No, but Republicans definitely can’t take this for granted and both parties' internals have been showing the race much closer than public polling. It’s a single-digit race.

Have to disagree..

Jones hasn't even tried to carve himself out a image of bipartisanship, his voting record has been extremely liberal for the state's partisan lean..

Voted against Kavanaugh, voted to convict on both counts, and looks likely to vote against Barrett's nomination..

Red state voters don’t care as much about a Senator's voting record as people here think. Jones' strength isn’t that he’s a conservadem, it’s that he’s perceived as genuine and relatable — the kind of decent guy who fights for you even if you disagree with him on some issues (well, that, and Tuberville's own weaknesses as a candidate and the massive Democratic wave). I’m not saying he’ll win reelection, but don’t be surprised if the margin is a lot closer to McCaskill's margin of defeat than what you’re predicting. There are also quite a few favorable trends for Democrats in this state, and Democratic enthusiasm/black turnout will be off the charts (I’m expecting Biden to crack 40%).

Taking this race for granted would be absolutely foolish. Jones' campaign is definitely playing to win.

Obama didn't even crack 40% in 2008.. a huge stretch to say Biden will.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Some may cite Tubberville's weaknesses as a candidate.. but Jones barely won in a special election, against possibly the worst senate candidate the US political sphere has seen in at least 2 decades.

This is Alabama, in a presidential year.. anyone who thinks this race will be close, should save themselves from eventual disappointment.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

If only Jones turned out to be in the vein of his mentor, Howell Heflin.. (a man of whom I've always had great respect for).

I would be donating frequently if that was the case.