WI-Marquette: Biden +8 (user search)
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  WI-Marquette: Biden +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Biden +8  (Read 1014 times)
SenatorCouzens
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« on: August 06, 2020, 12:54:14 AM »
Quote from: President Johnson on August 05, 2020, 01:46:38 PM
Isn't Marquette considered the Gold Standard of Wisconsin polls? While the margin is likely going to be closer, Joe Biden at 52% is pretty strong. Not sure whether Hillary ever matched this this far out.

Clinton led Trump 52 to 37 in Wisconsin in the Marquette poll in the first week of August, see the real clear politics page for many 2016 Wisconsin polls.
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SenatorCouzens
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Posts: 267
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« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2020, 10:22:26 AM »
Quote from: Hammy on August 06, 2020, 01:38:59 AM
Quote from: President Johnson on August 05, 2020, 01:46:38 PM
Isn't Marquette considered the Gold Standard of Wisconsin polls? While the margin is likely going to be closer, Joe Biden at 52% is pretty strong. Not sure whether Hillary ever matched this this far out.

They consistently had Hillary winning, but don't appear to have actually over-estimated her support (she was getting between 41 and 47), only underestimated Trump's. There's not room for Trump to win if the same has happened this time.

This isn't correct. Marquette had Clinton at 52 and 51 in two different polls in August, and had her at 50 in a poll at the end of September. Trump was at 37 or less in all three.
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