Not that unbelievable if you think Bush is up 4-6 nationally.
I think Florida and Ohio have essentially swaped places in 2004
In 2000 Bush was 4% better in Ohio than his national average, while Florida was basically exactly at his national average.
In 2004 I think Ohio is basically dead even with Bush's National numbers, while Bush is maybe 2-3% better in Florida than his National support.
Is Nader on the ballot in Ohio..? BTW
Nader is on the ballot in FL, but so far not in OH, he has filed a lawsuit there to get on the ballot
