The last CBS NY Times poll was a bit out af whack as well.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/03/15/opinion/polls/main606469.shtmlIt had Kerry at only 38%, (no other poll has ever had him below 40) and Nader at 7% (no otehr poll has ever had Nader that high).
Here is a good way to interpret polls: take the last 6 polls, throw out the one with the highest for Bush and the one with the highest for Kerry and average the remaining 4.
HedgeHog keeps a nice running list of National Polls:
http://www.davidwissing.com/gen2004polls.htmlI ifnd it amazing that we are already seeing at least 5 new national polls a week. Plus Rasmusen is running a Daily Tracking poll. For the last 30 days Bush and Kerry have each been as high as 49% and as low as 43%. As of today it's Bush 47 Kerry 46:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htmHedgeHog also keeps a page of State polls, and an up to date tally of EV based on state polling. As of yesterday Kerry leads 271 to 267 EV:
http://www.davidwissing.com/bushkerrystate2004.html