At this point, which electoral map is more likely? (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  At this point, which electoral map is more likely? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which map is more likely?
#1
Map #1
 
#2
Map #2
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 116

Author Topic: At this point, which electoral map is more likely?  (Read 3263 times)
Ancestral Republican
Crane
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,061
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -8.16, S: 3.22

P

« on: July 21, 2020, 06:45:14 PM »

2, but I believe he Biden will win Iowa, Wisconsin, and North Carolina.
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Ancestral Republican
Crane
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,061
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -8.16, S: 3.22

P

« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2020, 06:55:34 PM »

#2 is literally my expectation when voter scrubbing is taken into consideration, save for ME-2.

So, you're predicting a EC tie?
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Ancestral Republican
Crane
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,061
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -8.16, S: 3.22

P

« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2020, 12:44:42 PM »

All of Atlas is eating a hot L for voting for map 1.
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Ancestral Republican
Crane
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,061
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -8.16, S: 3.22

P

« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2020, 05:12:33 PM »

All of Atlas is eating a hot L for voting for map 1.

Someone tell me what kind of malarkey Atlas was smoking this summer to think the 413 map was remotely plausible.

I still can’t get over how narrow Biden’s margin of victory was in AZ and NV. Figured the Latinos and Asians in Vegas and Phoenix would hand Biden a decisive victory in both states.

I thought there was a real shot that the Dems could pick up Texas, Iowa, North Carolina etc so I accept some mockery for that.

Regarding your second point, I posted this in another thread earlier but you might find this interesting: The Democrats thought Latinos were a monolith. Cubanos and Tejanos did not fit into their electoral strategy, which was much to the Dems' disadvantage in the presidential election and key Senate races.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/11/17/trump-latinos-south-texas-tejanos-437027
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