Evaluate your 2020/2021 Prediction Record (user search)
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  Evaluate your 2020/2021 Prediction Record (search mode)
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Author Topic: Evaluate your 2020/2021 Prediction Record  (Read 922 times)
MoreThanPolitics
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Posts: 240


Political Matrix
E: 1.50, S: 2.62

P P
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« on: March 08, 2021, 11:10:49 AM »
« edited: March 08, 2021, 11:14:29 AM by MoreThanPolitics »

Presidency: I almost nailed the EV totals (I predicted Biden 305-233), only missing North Carolina and Georgia. I totally underestimated the leftward swings in the Atlanta suburbs! A solid B+.

Senate: Ugh, what a disaster. Missed NC, both GA races and ME, although no one saw Collins will win re-election. This also proved that Maine polls this cycle are absolute garbage! C-, luckily I changed IA back to R at the last minute, otherwise I will give myself a D.

House: Missed CA-21, CA-25, CA-39, CA-48, FL-26, FL-27, IA-1, IA-2, MO-2, ME-2, NY-11, NY-22, OK-5, PA-10, SC-1, TX-10, TX-23, TX-24 and UT-4. I underestimated GOP's huge gain among minorities and the lack of split voting in the suburbs. C

Governor: Not too shabby, since I got all the races correct. However, I severely underestimated the GOP's vote share in WV and VT. I thought both of them would get high-50s, but the two ended up getting almost 70%! B+  

Overall, I'll give myself a B- or C+.

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