To me, the problem with not raising the debt ceiling next week is the chaos and uncertainty it would create.
I think a balanced budget amendment is a bad idea, but its impact is on the future budget processes and not throwing the current system into confusion.
But those contracts are paid out of discretionary spending ...
Based on a previously adopted budget. If a balanced budget amendment were put in tomorrow it would affect the upcoming budget but not the one previously adopted.
Fair enough, but these previously adopted budgets would soon fade into the past, and Congress would have to drastically cut discretionary spending, including the types of contracts to which you refer. The difference you point out is basically only one of a short-term implementation lag.
That short term problem is what makes not raising the ceiling different than an amendment.
Ok, it is different for the very short term. But in the long term, not raising the ceiling would also be a decision that could be reversed by a democratic majority, while an amendment would require a supermajority. That long term impact has multiples more impact than anything that happens in the next year.
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