Election models megathread

[Chips]

The main issue with these forecasts is that most of the time they seem too biased toward incumbents. I highly doubt Evers has a 60% chance of winning, he could very well win but he's probably a slight underdog right now. Same with Kelly, I don't think she has a 40% chance of winning, maybe like 20% or something. It works the other way around too. I think Kemp is the favorite but I wouldn't quite put it at 85% chance.