Nebraska is a Safe R state that can never elect a Democrat, otoh Kansas is trending D and could elect a Democratic Senator this year.
Yes, I'm aware Democrats appear to think that. That's the point of this post.
Given that the two states are demographically and politically extremely similar, with some of the differences favoring Nebraska, I'm asking why y'all seem to think that?
Nebraska just isn’t as favorable, it’s urban area aren’t that large and don’t really have a trend in either direction.
Kansas does not have that much of a trend either. Certainly not like VA, NC, GA. Stop treating the 2016 election like the Holy Graal.
And Kansas is a Safe R state too.
With that said, despite the two states being broadly very similar, Nebraska has many small things in which it's less favorable to Democrats than Kansas, but what that means is that if Kansas is poised to shift by 10, Nebraska is poised to shift by 5; NOT that Kansas is poised to shift by 10 while Nebraska will not shift at all.