2020 Swing-o-meter Projection (user search)
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  2020 Swing-o-meter Projection (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Swing-o-meter Projection  (Read 1880 times)
Battista Minola 1616
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Posts: 11,426
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« on: July 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM »

I don't want to sound dismissive because like you were kinda incredibly accurate in 2016, but I'm not sure that using that calculator again is a good thing. It was thought for 2016. Many things have changed or could have changed in these four years that might make it unreliable.
Also why for Hispanics and for Asians did you out a separate percentage for "R" and for Trump? What does that mean?
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Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,426
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2020, 06:04:28 PM »

I don't want to sound dismissive because like you were kinda incredibly accurate in 2016, but I'm not sure that using that calculator again is a good thing. It was thought for 2016. Many things have changed or could have changed in these four years that might make it unreliable.
Also why for Hispanics and for Asians did you out a separate percentage for "R" and for Trump? What does that mean?

It may be a useful tool as a baseline. And I think Trump will do worse with those groups.

Will do worse with those groups compared to what?

Trump won less than 30% of both Hispanics and Asians in 2016.
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