2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan  (Read 43531 times)
Battista Minola 1616
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Posts: 11,483
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« on: August 03, 2020, 12:38:34 AM »

Uh, the idea of crude class-based redistricting sounds ugly.
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Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,483
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2020, 02:21:17 AM »



Obviously violates the VRA but this is my non partisan map of the detroit metro that fits almost perfectly
Creates a nice downriver WWC+arab seat thats Clinton +4 but trending R. Lean D
Ann Arbor College town and upscale Wayne county suburbs. Clinton +25(Safe D)
Titanium D Clinton +90 Detroit seat.
Livingston + exurban oakland and Macomb(Trump +24) Safe R
Inner Oakland(Clinton +25) Safe D
Most of Macomb +7 Trump = lean to Likely R and trending right.

This is much nicer (of course except the Detroit sink, which one can recognize isn't quite right without even knowing what the VRA is)
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Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,483
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2020, 01:24:56 PM »



Obviously violates the VRA but this is my non partisan map of the detroit metro that fits almost perfectly
Creates a nice downriver WWC+arab seat thats Clinton +4 but trending R. Lean D
Ann Arbor College town and upscale Wayne county suburbs. Clinton +25(Safe D)
Titanium D Clinton +90 Detroit seat.
Livingston + exurban oakland and Macomb(Trump +24) Safe R
Inner Oakland(Clinton +25) Safe D
Most of Macomb +7 Trump = lean to Likely R and trending right.

If you combine the Downriver and Detroit districts, what's the black population? Just wondering if there's a viable east-west split there that keeps them both as VRA districts.

The Black population in that yellow seat is essentially negligible outside of River Rouge, Ecorse, Inkster, and Romulus, and none of those are a huge percentage of the population. So yeah, I'd imagine it may even be majority white? The Oakland county district might actually be Blacker since it has Southfield and Pontiac.
sending both VRA seats into Oakland would be interesting.  But they can both be kept within Wayne, I think that's the best configuration

I just question to what extent one of two VRA seats which just stays in Wayne actually works as a performing seat. I'd be a little concerned about a legal challenge if the Black % in both seats isn't as high as reasonably possible; even under the current district Tlaib managed to win a primary in 2018 where she was not the Black candidate of choice IIRC.

As far as the Pointes go, I don't see anything wrong with putting them in a Black-majority seat.. They aren't exactly a great fit for working-class and increasingly diversifying Macomb either, and you avoid a county split.

I mean, I don't think that the VRA has anything to say about very crowded Democratic primaries where the winner barely gets 30% of the vote.
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