MI-03 - GSG (D): Biden +8 (user search)
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  MI-03 - GSG (D): Biden +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-03 - GSG (D): Biden +8  (Read 884 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


« on: September 16, 2020, 05:06:36 AM »

Sep 8-10, 400 LV, MoE: 4.9%

Biden 49%
Trump 41%

Trump approval: 44/53 (-9)

https://nmcdn.io/e186d21f8c7946a19faed23c3da2f0da/7c9798eaafd54081881797bf9a163295/files/research/MI-03-Poll-091520.pdf

District info:

Trump 52-42 (+10)
James 51-47 (+4)
Schuette 49-48 (+0)
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2020, 02:15:18 PM »

54% are college graduates - way too high.

Only 38% have four year college degrees or higher. Kent County, Michigan, which is where this district is based, is about 35% college educated. So looks about right.

We do have to be cautious since it is a D internal, but even if you adjust it towards Trump by 5 points, this is terrible news for him.

Yes, remember, college graduate = 4-year college degree + post-graduate degree. OP added 2-year degrees (16%) to 38% and got 54%, but the problem is people who hold associate’s degrees are mostly Republican, while actual “college graduates” vote quite differently.



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