ME-PPP: Biden +11

[BobbieMac]

This puts Biden +10 nationally on UNS.

RE: Maine 02 - Democrats won the House seat back in 2018. Interestingly, they won as a result of a ranked vote system (controversial for some reason in the US, but used regularly round the world with no problems). Now I've read a number of wikipedia pages but I cant get my head around something - is this being used for the Presidential election as well? If so, this would surely change the dynamics of the election, as if neither Biden or Trump get over 50% of the votes, third party voter preferences would dictate the result of the election.

[BobbieMac]

Janet Mills' poor decision to delay the implementation of RCV in presidential elections until recently means the Republican Party has been able to attempt to run a veto referendum. They have now submitted signatures and, if enough are deemed valid by Maine's Secretary of State, a veto referendum will be on the ballot in November and, by virtue of its presence, RCV will not be used for the 2020 presidential election.

Extra poll details:

July 2-3
1022 voters
MoE: 3.1%

Undecided 11%

Do we think RCV would benefit either Biden or Trump, or would it have made no difference?

I see in 2016 the Libertarians had way more votes than the Greens, presumably more would have put Trump as 2nd choice than Clinton?