538 model & poll tracker thread

[WD]

Did they say it would be released on the 27th?

[WD]

I actually have a theory on why Nate Silver is dragging his feet-

I'm sure his forecast has Biden somewhere around 90%- he doesn't want to release it now, and risk Trump  making a comeback and winning, and then he'd have to deal with all these idiots who will hammer him about being wrong because they don't understand how stuff like that works- thus he'll wait until either Trump narrows the gap or we get to the point where he has zero chance of winning

If Silver is really doing that then he should be ashamed of himself. Taking criticism is part of his field of work.

[WD]

So the reason Biden is at 70% is because muh race could tighten and muh Trump could come back and muh things could change and other bs like that?

Silver is a joke and an embarrassment to his profession. The Economist model is far superior.

[WD]

Why does he have OH more likely to flip than GA and MS more likely to flip than KS? This is a really bad model.

[WD]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1293599611249135627
Yesssss, keep this going.

FIGHT! FIGHT! FIGHT!