FOX News: AZ: Biden +9; NC: Biden +4; WI: Biden +8 (user search)
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  FOX News: AZ: Biden +9; NC: Biden +4; WI: Biden +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FOX News: AZ: Biden +9; NC: Biden +4; WI: Biden +8  (Read 6877 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,777


« on: September 02, 2020, 05:16:12 PM »

And here's the release!

https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-tops-trump-among-likely-voters-in-key-states

August 29-September 1

AZ
772 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Biden 49%
Trump 40%
Jorgensen 3%
Other 1%
Don't know 6%

Change among larger sample of 853 registered voters with a MoE of 3% (previous RV poll May 30-June 2):

Biden 49% (+3%)
Trump 39% (-3%)
Jorgensen 3% + Other 2% (n/c from Other 5%, Jorgensen not listed in previous poll)
Would not vote 1% (n/c)
Don't know 6% (+1%)

NC
722 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Biden 50%
Trump 46%
Jorgensen 1%
Hawkins 0%
Blankenship 0%
Other 0%
Don't know 2%

Change among larger sample of 804 registered voters with a MoE of 3.5% (previous RV poll June 20-23):

Biden 49% (+2%)
Trump 45% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% + Hawkins 1% + Blankenship 1% + Other 0% (+1% from Other 3%, Jorgensen, Hawkins and Blankenship not listed in previous poll)
Would not vote 1% (-1%)
Don't know 3% (n/c)

WI
801 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Biden 50%
Trump 42%
Jorgensen 2%
Other 1%
Don't know 5%

Change among larger sample of 858 registered voters with a MoE of 3% (previous RV poll May 30 - June 2):

Biden 49% (n/c)
Trump 41% (+1%)
Jorgensen 2% + Other 1% (-1% from Other 4%, Jorgensen not listed in previous poll)
Would not vote 1% (-1%)
Not sure 5% (n/c)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,777


« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2020, 12:27:59 PM »

Marquette I definitely understand, but why is Trafalger more desirable than a Fox poll? Also, the topline of this Fox poll of Wisconsin is within the margin of error of the last Marquette poll.

Remind me, Dale, what was the last Marquette poll?

49-44 (Biden +5)

That's actually a bit less than I thought it was. I was remembering Biden +6

Marquette was +4 with LIKELY voters and it was before both conventions too. I thought it was accurate then, what I don't think is accurate is Biden doubling that after a 1-2 trend against him nationally, especially when Fox had only +7 nationally before the conventions.

Marquette was +5% with likely voters.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,777


« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2020, 12:37:22 PM »

Marquette I definitely understand, but why is Trafalger more desirable than a Fox poll? Also, the topline of this Fox poll of Wisconsin is within the margin of error of the last Marquette poll.

Remind me, Dale, what was the last Marquette poll?

49-44 (Biden +5)

That's actually a bit less than I thought it was. I was remembering Biden +6

Marquette was +4 with LIKELY voters and it was before both conventions too. I thought it was accurate then, what I don't think is accurate is Biden doubling that after a 1-2 trend against him nationally, especially when Fox had only +7 nationally before the conventions.

Marquette was +5% with likely voters.

It was 50-46 Biden

Whoops! I misread and omitted leaners.

My apologies.
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