California by city

[Wormless Gourd]

Shafter
2016: Clinton 53.64% — Trump 40.64% = D+ 13.00
2020: Biden 49.53% — Trump 48.42% = D+ 01.11
SWING: R+ 11.89

This city is 85% hispanic and the raw vote totals increased 54% this year wtf
Oil workers?

[Wormless Gourd]

Downey is also a very wealthy and educated hispanic area in LA county which swung a good bit but ended up in the same area. Maybe indicates that in and around 30% is the roof for republicans in these types of communities.

[Wormless Gourd]

Other than you guys just thinking that a Trump voter is so inherently defective so as to warrant some explanation for his or her behavior, what exactly is the connection between being a Scientologist and being more likely to vote Republican...?

Scientologists vote for Republicans for weird, miscellaneous reasons;
- Preserving/expanding their tax-exempt status is a big group concern
- Wanting repeal of the Johnson amendment, preventing non-profits from endorsing political candidates which limits their political clout
- Dems and liberals have an association, especially in California, of being pro-medical establishment(in terms of practices) and Scientologists are anti-therapy, anti-psychiatry, among other practices
- a LOT of scientologist staff(not members) are foreign-born, especially from europe and south america, and their concentration near/on scientologist properties could make for a hidden bloc vote at the direction of church leaders(or genuine improvement for trump like in other immigrant areas)

and in that east hollywood precinct, something like 1,100 of the residents live at scientologist-registered properties and interestingly, had a voting history of bush '00 -> kerry -> obama -> obama -> trump -> trump '20 according to an article i read

[Wormless Gourd]

Interesting note about Paradise in Butte county is that the entire city burnt down 2 days after the 2018 midterms. It cast 68% fewer raw votes 2020 vs 2016, but got more conservative by about 5 points.

[Wormless Gourd]

Some swing calculations I did for LA county unincorporated communities. These aren't perfectly lined up with existing CDPs, so take with a grain of salt. Source for all is LA statement of vote.
Excluded communities where it seems like the county resized/redefined communities between '16 and '20.

Some North LA county Republican redoubts;

Acton
Vote total: 6,192
2016: 26.36% D, 69.35% R
2020: 32.51% D, 65.81% R
9.68 point shift towards Democrats.

Agua Dulce
Vote total: 2,362
2016: 27.52% D, 66.92% R
2020: 32.68% D, 65.58% R
6.5 point shift towards Democrats

Antelope
Vote total: 1,092
2016: 25.61% D, 68.28% R
2020: 33.15% D, 64.93% R
10.9 point shift towards Democrats

Canyon Country/Sand Canyon
Vote total: 1,388
2016: 45.30% D, 48.14% R
2020: 45.24% D, 52.02% R
3.93 point shift towards Republicans

Castaic
Vote total: 14,740
2016: 43.83% D, 50.34% R
2020: 46.84% D, 51.04% R
2.31 point shift towards Democrats

Quartz Hill
Vote total: 6,940
31.21% D, 62.59% R
37.46% D, 60.43% R
8.41 point shift towards Democrats

Some dense or large urban/suburban areas;

Hacienda Heights
Vote total: 24,847
2016: 64.51% D, 31.50% R
2020: 62.97% D, 35.01% R
5.05 point shift towards Republicans

East Los Angeles
Vote total: 21,711
2016: 86.94% D, 7.73% R
2020: 82.71% D, 14.79% R
11.29 point shift towards Republicans

Rowland Heights
Vote total: 18,372
2016: 61.00% D, 33.49% R
2020: 59.62% D, 38.79% R
6.68 point shift toward Republicans

South San Gabriel
Vote total: 3,321
2016: 74.27% D, 20.13% R
2020: 67.90% D, 30.47% R
16.71 point shift towards Republicans

Ladera Heights
Vote total: 6,683
2016: 90.38% D, 6.58% R
2020: 91.64% D, 7.41% R
0.44 point shift towards Democrats

La Crescenta
Vote total: 8,047
2016: 59.80% D, 34.03% R
2020: 63.34% D, 34.48% R
3.08 point shift towards Democrats

Florence
Vote total: 14,538
2016: 91.35% D, 4.74% R
2020: 84.16% D, 13.65% R
16.1 point shift towards Republicans

Valinda
Vote total:
2016: 78.42% D, 15.99% R
2020: 72.92% D, 24.91% R
14.42 point shift towards Republicans

West Athens
Vote total: 14,874
2016: 92.20% D, 4.21% R
2020: 89.27% D, 8.68% R
7.4 point shift towards Republicans

Views Park
Vote total: 6,299
2016: 92.38% D, 4.16% R
2020: 93.54% D, 5.30% R
0.01 point shift towards Democrats

Some wealthy white areas;

Topanga
Vote total: 5,266
2016: 77.04% D, 16.21% R, 4.68% Jill Stein
2020: 80.23% D, 17.89% R
1.51 point shift toward Democrats

Stevenson Ranch
Vote total: 7,618
2016: 51.22% D, 43.32% R
2020: 56.83% D, 41.60% R
7.33 point shift towards Democrats

Marina del Rey
Vote total: 5,850
2016: 74.97% D, 23.04% R
2020: 74.02% D, 20.80% R
1.28 point shift towards Republicans

These are just a few, I can post some more if requested.