Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer (user search)
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  Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer (search mode)
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer  (Read 91885 times)
Nhoj
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,224
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.52, S: -7.74

« on: August 22, 2018, 01:54:05 AM »

Walker is already trying to redefine Tony Evers by putting out an ad accusing him of not revoking a teacher's license to viewing pornography. I REALLY hope voters do not fall for this lie!

Hopefully we see results like this in November:



Can any Wisconsin poster explain why Republicans turned out so strongly in Forest? The turnout map is eerily similar to the 2012 election map, and while more Republicans turned out in a few other Obama/Trump counties, it seems like they were pretty close, whereas Forest was a blowout. It might not mean anything for November, but it's just interesting in how it stands out compared to the rest of the map. (I realize that Forest swung heavily to Trump in 2016, but it looks like it was even more lopsided on Tuesday.)

there is probably some distortion in the primary results based on which party has more local institutional strength, albeit not nearly as much as a closed primary-this probably results in enhanced polarization in the driftless vs the german descended areas in the primary, even if the final margin is less polarized.
Pretty sure a lot of it is explained by contested local races. Dunn which usually would be blue had had sheriff races that were contested with multiple people. I assume the republican side drew more interest. On the other hand I cant explain Barron, all local races were uncontested though the Sheriff is a democrat.
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Nhoj
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,224
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.52, S: -7.74

« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2018, 03:28:35 PM »

Do you see Highway-29 down there? It connects Green Bay to Wausau to Chippewa Falls to then I-94 near Menomonee. By many it is the defining line between Central and Northern (Northwoods) Wisconsin.



Compare that to the swing map that AG created:



You can see that road line almost clear as day on the map.
the Freeway portion of 53 also ends in Barron county. So there is some definite correlation. The central Wi counties by the interstates swung to walker so its not perfect.
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Nhoj
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,224
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.52, S: -7.74

« Reply #2 on: December 08, 2018, 03:01:58 PM »

So Rs won 15 under that right? Of course Ds currently hold SD10 and Rs held unto vukmirs district and maybe a few others that baldwin won this year.
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