March 2021-- Which is Most Likely?

[DaleCooper]

For now I'm still going to stick with my prediction that Trump won't end up running for a variety of reasons and that his endorsement, if he makes one, won't mean as much as people expect it to. I'm not saying this is a greater than 50% chance as opposed to your other options, but I believe it's a plurality as far as its likelihood goes.

I also feel like people are forgetting how quick things move in both the news and public opinion. Retiring for three years in the aftermath of defeat and then coming back at age 78 to run again is not as easy as people seem to think, no matter how intense his following is now. I've seen plenty of celebrities and powerful people implode in much shorter time, and there have been many more that have left the public eye before trying to make comebacks and failing. We'll just have to wait and see, but politics these days is too volatile for anyone to pretend that there's a 90% chance or more that Trump will be the GOP nominee this far out.