GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[DaleCooper]

Avoiding debates is cowardly and pathetic.

[DaleCooper]

Avoiding debates is cowardly and pathetic.

He just debated Warnock three days ago…?

I agree that senate candidates should have to debate at least once and preferably twice.

It's still pathetic.

[DaleCooper]

One factor I keep coming back to:  with only 4 weeks until the runoff, Warnock has substantially less time to bank early votes than in 2021.  I wonder if it matters. 

I doubt it will have much of an impact. If anything I bet it'll just mean that there will be less of an imbalance between the early vote and election day. I've never bought, even during the height of the COVID issue in 2020, that less early vote time would result in a bunch of Dems staying home. That judge election during the primaries being so favorable to Democrats in Wisconsin (easily at the peak of COVID fear) kind of lines up with that.

[DaleCooper]

One factor I keep coming back to:  with only 4 weeks until the runoff, Warnock has substantially less time to bank early votes than in 2021.  I wonder if it matters. 

I'm not sure why that would be a factor, it's not like those people are going to stay home. They'll just vote on E-Day if they don't have the chance to vote early.

Democrats use early voting to bake in turnout from their low propensity types (i.e., inner-cities, minorities, the poor, those with mobility issues, college students, etc.)  Having to rely on ED turnout to bank those votes is a higher risk proposition, as the GOP has recently learned.

This is true and I hadn't considered that. It's possible that it could be an issue for them.

[DaleCooper]

Think of the numbers a Trump rally would have brought in! But this guy, Walker, was very ungrateful and asked him not to come. Sad!

If Walker loses (and if he does worse than in the general), it will be proof that it is because he did not have an in person in-state Trump rally. Rs will see that not supporting Trump and not using his help doesn't work.

If this was a normal Republican then that could be the interpretation, but Walker is one of the disastrous Trump candidates that wouldn't have been the nominee if not for Trump, much like Oz.

Though if Walker ends up winning, it could be seen as evidence that distancing from Trump is the right move.