Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Market Research: Biden +1% (user search)
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  Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Market Research: Biden +1% (search mode)
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Author Topic: Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Market Research: Biden +1%  (Read 1413 times)
DaleCooper
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« on: September 17, 2020, 06:19:18 PM »

Targoz nailed it last year during the gubernatorial races.

They had Beshear winning by 15 points last year. I wouldn't exactly call that "nailed it."

People that don't know what they're talking about think that polls are all about calling the winner. He would think that a 2016 Wisconsin poll that had Trump leading by 40 points was more accurate than a Hillary +3 poll, simply because it got the winner right, or more importantly, because it tells him what he wants to hear.
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DaleCooper
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Posts: 11,331


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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2020, 06:23:43 PM »

Also, are these weird obscure pollsters strategically waiting until there's a lack of quality polling to release their crazy Trump fan-fic numbers? This happened during the conventions, where a bunch of strange polls showed states tightening but then once polls from reputable organizations came out, it became clear that Biden had solidified his lead in all the swing states.

So far Ipsos, Economist, and Monmouth have indicated that Biden's lead remains in the high single-digits, while Fox News put him at 5 points.
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