MN: Harper Polling (R) - Biden +3

[DaleCooper]

Hopefully all these R polls of Minnesota will motivate one of the B+ or A tier pollsters (not Emerson) to conduct a poll here.

[DaleCooper]

I suspect this is similar to the outlandish D internals in that it's released strategically to maximize attention from donors. Thankfully, though, Biden is investing in Minnesota (as he should) so it won't be a 2016 repeat in that sense.

[DaleCooper]

I remember Harper being decent in 2016, but obviously take R internal with grain of salt.  I still don’t really think Trump should invest here over Michigan.

The educational attainment in MN makes it a losing battle for Trump, especially since Biden is investing in the state, unlike Hillary in 2016.

[DaleCooper]

The Trump campaign has always been obsessed with expanding the electoral map even though it's practically impossible for him to do that. Remember Parscale's New Mexico fixation? MN is just the latest iteration of that delusion. With Biden investing here, unlike Hillary, the state is a comfortable Likely Dem.

Also, just a random conspiratorial thought, would it really be that shocking for Republicans to try and gaslight everyone into thinking that a Clinton state is competitive in order to get Biden to divert funds towards it instead of a swing state? Fun thought, but who knows. Either way I'm glad Biden is advertising here, just to be safe.

[DaleCooper]

Perhaps I'm wrong, we'll see and I'll be the first to admit it if so, but I just don't see the massive room for improvement that people are suddenly seeing for Trump in MN.

[DaleCooper]

Trump got fewer votes in the state of Minnesota than George W. Bush did in 2004.

[DaleCooper]

Unless the rural areas of Minnesota start to vote like white counties in the Deep South then Trump will have to appeal to the educated electorate of the state in order to win. I don't see that being possible.