Washington state megathread (user search)
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  Washington state megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Washington state megathread  (Read 861685 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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« on: June 16, 2022, 01:03:58 AM »

Best of luck with your campaign! If only your type of candidates could run in places like LD-2, LD-12, LD-25, LD-26, LD-31, and LD-39.... LD-44 is very likely too far of an uphill climb for an R to win in a post-Roe environment. But who knows.

Interesting factoid. All 3 legislators from LD-44 are Black - only the second time that has occurred in WA. Plus the district is just 3.7% Black - 63% white.

I'm pretty confident the WA results for 2022 will result in Dems controlling both chambers but with relatively embarrassing majorities given the topline politics of the state.

The main issue for the GOP is that in both chambers, their path through victory runs through Biden + 20ish suburban seats, many of which have D incumbents. None of these districts have had shifts particuarly good for the GOP, and don't have as much turnout dropoff potential to favour the GOP.

I will say though Republicans performance in the Washington legislature has been historically relatively strong considering, but this has waned more in recent cycles.

Likely D for both chambers, though virtually no chance of winning a supermajority this year.
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