Predict Tammy Baldwin's margin of victory. (user search)
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May 28, 2024, 03:25:35 PM
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  Predict Tammy Baldwin's margin of victory. (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Well?
#1
6+ points		  
#2
4-6 points		  
#3
2-4 points		  
#4
Less than 2 points		  
#5
She loses		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 71

Author Topic: Predict Tammy Baldwin's margin of victory.  (Read 1109 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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« on: May 06, 2024, 11:41:25 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on May 06, 2024, 11:37:46 PM
I think she could actually go down this year. If Trump wins Wisconsin even narrowly, Baldwin has close to zero crossover appeal the same way Brown or Casey do. Its possible Hovde even outruns Baldwin. He will probably do better in places like WOW than her.

She has some based on 2018 but agree not in the same magnitude.

Some of it is also downballot lag in certain areas of rural WI, mainly driftless (but then you also have downballot lag favoring Hodve in WOW).
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