ProgressiveModerate
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Posts: 13,989
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« on: May 05, 2024, 01:17:31 PM » |
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Himself is a good answer
Other than that, probably Demographic change - in basically every key swing state (except maybe Nevada) it's the Republican and Republican-shifting communities disproportionately losing population, Democratic and Democrat-shifting communities growing the fastest. All these states are becoming actively more diverse, and seeing urban metro areas becoming more dominant and have bigger spheres of cultural influence.
Trump already lost in 2020, but by default these demographic changes likely pad Biden's margins in key states like Georgia by another couple % - by default Trump has to be gaining with new voters all else being equal.
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