ProgressiveModerate
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Posts: 14,116
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« on: December 01, 2022, 08:26:41 PM » |
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I don't think these matters too much since on the Dem side, I don't expect the primary to be very competitive especially if Biden seeks-reelection which seems like the most likely outcome.
However, I think the first state should be a smaller state, both geographically and in terms of population because otherwise smaller-name candidates will basically have an impossible time getting anywhere.
My suggestion for the first state would be Nevada. Las Vegas is a relatively concentrated metro, and it's extremely diverse so Dems would have to win over a bunch of racial and economic coalitions to succeed. It seems pretty representative of the Democratic Party for such a small state. It would also help NV be a higher turnout state on the Dem side around the margins since there would be a ton of engagement.
New Jersey would also be a good option as it's geographically compact, and again, has a little bit of everything when it comes to the Dem base, but it's population is large and the media market is extremely expensive.
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