Which Republican candidates could become difficult to dislodge if elected?

[ProgressiveModerate]

I actually agree with Fung. For a number of reasons, New England rarely votes out incumbents of any party.

There's a ton of Biden seats where if Rs win in New England they could probably hold even in a better year for Dems (CT-02, CT-05, NY-18, NY-19, NH-01, ect). I've always wondered by New England specifically always seems to be quite favorable to incumbents. Perhaps it has to do with the culture, specifically in a lot of these well-off communities of just re-electing folks unless they've actually done something offensive rather than just being angry.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I disagree with Barrett. His district is quite polarized. While I think Molinaro would be a solid incumbent who would tend to outperform the top of the ticket, I also think he's a bit overrated.

In Kirkmeyer's district is really depends upon if Dems nominate a Hispanic candidate or not. A lot of Hispanics vote for the incumbent but more importantly vote for someone with a Hispanic last name.

Some of it too will depend upon how these folks define their congressional career. If they become too polarizing, it would make them much easier to dislodge than even just the optics of a mjoderate hero liek Fritz.