ProgressiveModerate
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Posts: 13,959
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« on: June 24, 2022, 04:16:23 PM » |
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The electoral college for instance favoured Obama as recently as 2012. If Democrats get lucky with GA, NC, and AZ all voting to the left of the nation or smtg, it could create a real challenge for the GOP for a few cycles, especially given the number of safe EVs is much higher on the Dem side in a normal year.
Same thing goes for the House; a lot of the close House districts have generally been shifting left and every census pulls seats more into urban and suburban communities. The GOP gaining with urban minority in hyper-D districts and rural voters in hyper-R districts isn't exactly the best trade.
The Senate is harder to see the bias flip on its head, at least in teh short term, though it could certainly grow or shrink.
On the state legistlative level, a lot of the GOPs massive advantage has waned as gerrymanders in MI and PA were undone.
Another place where this could theoretically happen is the SCOTUS if the GOP has unfortunately timed deaths and if Dems more often than not hold the Presidency.
Like imagine if the GOP lost the EC while winning the PV. What would their message be? Would they start to argue for abolishing the EC while Dems want to keep it? Could it eventually force a bipartisan effort to reform malapportionment in institutions?
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