2020 Nebraska Redistricting (user search)
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  2020 Nebraska Redistricting (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Nebraska Redistricting  (Read 7352 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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« on: September 08, 2021, 12:37:11 PM »
Nebraska is a bit of a weird state for the GOP to gerrymander.

Geography makes it hard to balance all 3 districts at about Trump + 20 without doing something really nasty. At the same time, it's hard to make a district that cracks Biden + 10.

Also important to note the GOP doesn't have full control in Nebraska because they lack a supermajority, meaning maps need "Dem" support (there's 17 registered Dems even though the legistlature is technically non-partisan).

I think the most likely map is a little change map that has a slight Dem slant thanks to favorable geography.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2021, 04:04:45 PM »
Tbh, one good thing about this map is that they’ll prolly always be at least 1 competitive seat in NE this decade. If things stay as they are, NE-2 will remain competitive but if NE-2 swings hard left, NE-1 has prolly become competitive since it now takes in swingy suburban Sarpy + Lancaster
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