2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Kansas

[ProgressiveModerate]

I tried my hand at a fair 4-district map of Kansas.

Image Link

The Population Deviation is 0.08%, and it reflects 2015 - 2019 ACS Data.

12/100 on Dave's Proportionality Index
97/100 on the Compactness Index
82/100 on County Splitting
0/100 on the Minority Representation index (DRA says Kansas is just too white for a minority district  )
12/100 on Dave's competitiveness index

The map above shows results from the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election.

Check it out here and see county and municipality boundaries.


Partisan Breakdown by Election

2012 U.S. Presidential Election in Kansas: 4R

2016 U.S. Senate Election in Kansas: 4R

2016 U.S. Presidential Election in Kansas: 3R to 1D

2018 Kansas Attorney General Election: 3R to 1D

2018 Kansas Gubernatorial Election: 3D to 1R

2020 U.S. Senate Election in Kansas: 4R

2020 U.S. Presidential Election in Kansas: 3R to 1D


Opinions?

Looks nice, clean, and relatively little change, but how did Bollier not win KS-3!?

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://twitter.com/Davis_Hammet/status/1491112550242537475

Illinois tier corruption.

That messed up.

Question is if this passes does the House have the votes, and if that happens what will happen with the Kansas Supreme Court

I really don’t get why the KS GOP is doing all this for a map that doesn’t even help them that much and is likely to ultimately fail one way or another

[ProgressiveModerate]

Again why?

The CD map don’t even help you that much, just gives you a viable shot at a short term KS-03 rental. This is pure desperation

[ProgressiveModerate]

House is voting now over the veto.

Pls update a results i at school rn lol

[ProgressiveModerate]

Surprised KS-2 still moved to the right, after taking KCK. Anyone have a DRA link or a full county map?

Cause it dropped most of hyper blue Lawrence

https://davesredistricting.org/join/a62e2215-fe4e-478f-b8ac-fa604fdd1d33

[ProgressiveModerate]

Weird sidenote; Kansas is the first and only state to now have RAW 2012 Pres data. Turning on swing, the shifts in white suburbs of Johnson County have been brutal.



Quite literally the square of doom for the GOP. We're talking 30+ point leftwards swings in 2 cycles. The rest of the state has p much been a wash since.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Ye the only thing their map really does is pvercome some unfavorable geography doenst really impedes Dems ability to break the supermajority (or theoretically win the majority).

The congressional map IMO isn't really a racial gerrymander but pretty much is an objectable gerrymander. Whether that's enough to force a new map is up to the court.

Hope that if it is overturned, they don't give it back to the legistlature for a long game of hardball.

Seriously though all this gerrymander really does is possibly give the GOP KS-03 for another cycle or two. You could easily draw a map that's pretty solidly 3-1 and is fair

Here's an example:



A Trump + 16ish KS-02 should be safe for the GOP; a reminder this district really hasn't shifted much politically from 2012 overall; infact Turmp narrowly outperformed Romney's margin in this map. A Witicha + Rurals district also isn't flipping barring something very unforeseen and KS-01 is obviously safe.