2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Indiana

[ProgressiveModerate]

IN-1 is D +3.14
IN-2 is R + 10.73

Everything else is safe

My quick attempt to try to gerrymander IN for the GOP. I think it's going to be very hard to make IN-1 red without brining IN-2 too much into play unless the GOP is willing to do something very obscene. Their best bet is to make it a swing district that Democrats actually have to spend time and money in to defend. Cracking Marion would also be very risky since if the gerrymander starts to backfire over the decade depending upon coming political re alignments, it could go very wrong. They are definately going to try to optimize the Marion vote sink though my shifting the district north to prevent IN-5 or it's equivalent from becoming too D-friendly down the road.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Really just reminds me of how much imma miss the clean Indiana map we currently have. My guess is the safe districts can be made cleaner though, but any Gary crack won’t look nice, especially since it causes a weird situation with IN-3 where it’s not quite enough to take in Ft Wayne but also not quite enough not to

[ProgressiveModerate]

Is there any chance Rs risk a 9-0 map. The poster above actually made a pretty clean one.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Here's a cleaner 9-0 map. I'll see if I can do a map that only splits Marion 3 ways.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Made an updated 9-0. Still possible on 2020; closest district is IN-1 at Trump + 11. I tried to balance the districts with urban, suburban, and rural areas so by the time a district flips to Dems Dems are probably competative in Indiana and the GOP is in the trash nationtionally. Any chance the GOP goes for something like this?

[ProgressiveModerate]

So glad we actually may get a fair-ish and clean looking map. Honestly keeping IN-1 is pretty good for Dems; not exactly sure why the GOP didn't go 8-1 as it's not hard to eliminate IN-1. My guess is Wolarzorki didn't want to take in any blue areas.

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/40b399a9-1f24-4ea7-98c9-a7f178526dab

Here's the GOP's proposed map if anyone is curious.

If trends go nuts it's possible IN-5 falls by the end of the deacde, but by that point a lot of gerrymanders will have probably backfired anyways, and that's certainly not a given, especially since the district does still have quite a lot of rurals.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Tbf, the GOP is at no risk of loosing the state legistlature or even coming close so while fair maps are appreicated, they mean very little in the long term. 56 GOP seats are considered "safe" on 2020 numbers and it's really hared to see which of those Dems could crack into unless they start outright winning back rural areas.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Wow so they really don’t plan on cracking IN-1. It’ll be reliving to have 1 pleasant looking Midwestern map.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Honestly don’t know why the GOP didn’t go for IN-1. Relatively happy with how this turned out could’ve been a lot worse, and it’s pretty much a fair map except for the fact the Indianapolis suburbs are split