MARGINS6729
Jr. Member
Posts: 384
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« on: May 03, 2020, 05:15:41 AM » |
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Trump +2 for now.
I have honestly been very bullish on this state leaning Republican at the presidential level and I'd love to see people change my mind. Firstly, Hillary targeted the state quite heavily but failed to put in a good performance there. Areas of the state are turning Democratic quickly but Republican areas in the eastern and western regions of the state are also getting redder. These are some decently populated counties too which along with rural areas can more than offset Democratic gains in Mecklenburg, Wake, Durham, Guilford, Forsyth, Orange, etc. Republicans have also been outpacing Democrats in voter registration pretty consistently(however there is no doubt some of that is southern Democrats who are really Republicans switching registration). Unaffiliated voters have been gaining quite quickly too which makes things somewhat more up in the air and makes me question my take but I think the GOP will carry the state in the president's race, lose the Governorship, and then the Senate is a tossup.
Anybody want to refute this? I'd love to be wrong lol.
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