Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread (user search)
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  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 301843 times)
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« on: November 08, 2022, 08:14:04 PM »

CNN Exit Poll Pennsylvania
Oz 49.5
Fetterman 49

LOL we're in for a long night/week aren't we?
Luzerne County ran out of printer paper for ballots and had to turn voters away. A court ordered them to keep polls open till 10PM. Buckle up!

How did the court order them to do this so fast
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2022, 08:44:30 PM »

Even Chris Christie (lol) just said on ABC that Walker is in "big trouble" if he keeps trailing Kemp by such large margins, predicts 47-48% of the vote right now.

If anyone knows the meaning of "big" it's Chris Christie.

Cant believe it’s been >2 years since this

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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2022, 08:53:54 PM »

If Dems hold the trifecta, not only should relations with Cuba be normalized, but they should also elevate Cuba to #1 "best friend" status

You realize most Cuban-Americans hate the regime right
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2022, 09:00:12 PM »

Why did they even make the needle account for Louisiana lmao. The senate race is a foregone conclusion and there are literally zero competitive house races💀
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2022, 09:47:22 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2022, 09:57:53 PM by ultraviolet »

Can someone give me a quick rundown of the state of affairs? I can't possibly keep up with the pace at which info gets posted in this thread. Many thanks in advance.

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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2022, 10:00:30 PM »

Yes...Ha Ha Ha...Yes!

I love my state!
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2022, 10:16:50 PM »


What was it before?
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2022, 10:20:14 PM »

Clarion County finishes its count. 

Oz leads 69-28, Trump won here 74-24 in 2020. 

Just continues the trend of Oz underperforming in the rurals. 

How does Oz win at this point if he’s consistently losing ground in rural areas? Not saying he can’t just wondering
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2022, 10:28:50 PM »

Is anyone looking at JHK’s live forecast? I’ve always liked his models so it’s interesting to see this even if idk how credible it is
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2022, 10:42:02 PM »

Arizona’s governor race would be a huge, underrated pickup. Flipping AZ for the first time in however long would be massive for such a fast growing state.
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2022, 10:51:57 PM »

Dems have now broken 50% on JHK live forecast (7.2% in the house)
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2022, 10:59:49 PM »

So I guess Beto's political career is over. He lost two major statewide races and went no where in a presidential primary.

He could pull a John James and carpetbag to a fitting house district
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2022, 11:00:36 PM »

Ohio Democrats will win FIVE House seats for the first time since 2010!

Also back then Ohio had 18 districts instead of 16
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2022, 11:04:03 PM »

JHK live forecast

Dem chances:
Senate: 51.3% (+0.5)
House: 13.3% (+5.1)
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2022, 11:10:24 PM »

JHK live forecast:

Dem chances:
Senate: 49.2% (-2.1)
House: 27.6% (+14.3)

Uhhh I guess it’s just correcting? Idk
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2022, 11:18:15 PM »

So it's looking like PA Dems have a good chance at a majority in the State House

And NH Dems have a good chance at a majority in the State House too.

This is insane. Like what the actual hell happened tonight?

This must be what Republicans feel like every election lol
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2022, 11:37:11 PM »

Any word on the Michigan state legislature?
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2022, 11:46:11 PM »

JHK live forecast:

Dem chances:
Senate: 41.3% (-7.9)
House: 36.3% (+8.7)

Says there is a 10% chance of R senate D house
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2022, 11:54:06 PM »

JHK live forecast:

Dem chances:
Senate: 41.3% (-7.9)
House: 36.3% (+8.7)

Says there is a 10% chance of R senate D house

Dems look good for the Senate right now... pending AZ and NV. Why did it go down?

Not sure. The live senate forecast is basically forecasting the pre-ED forecast at this point
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2022, 11:59:08 PM »

I made this before the 2020 election...finally

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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #20 on: November 09, 2022, 12:05:05 AM »

TraFAILGar was right there though and arguably even better...

Still, I admire it!

Just for you

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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #21 on: November 09, 2022, 12:08:12 AM »

JHK live forecast:

Dem chances:
Senate: 40.6% (-0.7)
House: 44.0% (+7.7)

I like this better than the needle. Why has the needle like not even moved at all
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #22 on: November 09, 2022, 12:13:52 AM »

JHK live forecast:

Dem chances:
Senate: 40.6% (-0.7)
House: 44.0% (+7.7)

I like this better than the needle. Why has the needle like not even moved at all

What is that Senate forecast based on? Predicting the eventual Georgia runoff? Because it seems like there’s a good chance that that’s what it all comes down to (again).

It only has Fetterman at a 48% chance

Kelly 67%
Warnock 45%
CCM 40%
Barnes 18%
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #23 on: November 09, 2022, 12:26:21 AM »

So uh, what's the over-under on Ken Calvert coming back from being 13 points behind?

NYT thinks he will, but you have to wonder...

This was a >95% R race this morning, so if he goes down something absolutely crazy has happened
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,954
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #24 on: November 09, 2022, 12:45:02 AM »

The Proposition to protect Roe in Michigan is up only 54-46 with 50% in.

Wayne is only 8% in...this won't be close
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