Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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Posts: 4,719
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« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2022, 02:02:13 PM » |
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Tester is definitely the one I'm least worried about. He seems like the Democratic Party's Susan Collins.
Manchin and Brown concern me. I think Brown can do it, but I worry about the decline in ticket-splitting. This election has made me a little less worried, but not much. Tim Ryan, with how good of a candidate he was "should" have lost by less. Maybe DeWine increased Vance's margin? That's what we have to hope for, I think.
As for Manchin, honestly, flip a coin. I could see anything from him winning by more than he did in 2018 to losing by 20 points.
Either way, Dems need to go all-in on Texas. Possibly Florida, depending on how things look, but the next two years need to be spent trying to get the party in order there.
Outside opportunities might be Missouri and Indiana, but we'll have to wait and see on those. I highly doubt they'll be truly competitive, but at least running good candidates wouldn't hurt.
Do you think there's a potentially strong candidate in Nebraska? Maybe the D from the special election last summer? In the Senate special there, the R candidate will presumably be an appointee. That might translate to weakness? Maybe?
omg imagine if bacon is appointed to the vacancy
I'm kind of grasping at straws here, I admit. This is a scary map.
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