anvi
anvikshiki
YaBB God
Posts: 4,400
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« on: October 06, 2012, 01:55:29 PM » |
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If Obama wins all the Kerry states plus Ohio, all he would have to do is hold Nevada to win. Iowa would work too, but I think Nevada is a better bet given the margins and demographic factors, ect.. If Obama wins all the Kerry states but loses Ohio, he wold still need 13 EVs to win, which would seem to make Virginia ground zero instead of trying to win two out of Colorado, Iowa and Nevada. In short, I'd be putting the most effort right now into Ohio, Virginia and Nevada. Depending on how things shake out and given the closer margins in places like Colorado and Iowa, I think making big investments in the former three states, where the president seems anyway to have a little more pull, makes more electoral sense. But, as a secondary effort, I'd really try to be turning out the Hispanic vote in Colorado, which seems to underperform in terms of turnout in recent national elections.
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