NY-20 Special Election

[RI]

Perhaps I am a pessimist, but I am not getting a good feeling about this... :/

[RI]

Most, but not all, of Columbia just came in. *holding out hope*

[RI]

My calculations have it at 76,956 - 76,907 for Murphy, using the AP totals and calculating the difference between their results for Saratoga and the county results (which are all in).

They are behind in Washington.  I'm 99.9% sure it's 77,208-77,127 Murphy.

That is what the Saratogian has.

[RI]

Does anyone know the breakdown between precinct and absentee voters in 2008 in the 20th Congressional District for President?

That should give us an approximation of the breakout of the absentee vote.

I don't think New York keeps that data.  I looked at the 2006 and 2008 official Saratoga County results, and there are no special precincts for absentees.  The best you could do is to try to compare the election day and final official tallies, if you can find the former somewhere. 

According to CNN, the final count in the 2006 race on election day was 117,799-104,157 for Gillibrand. The final certified totals for D-R were 125,168-110,554. This means that ballots counted after election day went 7,369-6,397. The Dems therefore recieved approx. 53.5% of the two-party absentee vote in 2006, which is slightly higher than the 53.1% they recieved on Election Day.

[RI]

NRCC sent out this fundraising email:

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Are they that stupid?