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realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,823
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
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« on: June 01, 2021, 03:22:36 PM » |
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Based on the 2016 VOTER Survey (as that's what I can pull up quickly), white evangelicals (which I'm defining here as Baptists, Non-Denoms, Pentecostals, and Holiness groups) voted approximately Trump 77, Clinton 19 based on a sample size of 1,126.
Breaking this down by the partisanship of their zip code:
Clinton 0-25%: Trump 82, Clinton 17 (n=253)
Clinton 25-40%: Trump 78, Clinton 18 (n=401)
Clinton 40-60%: Trump 79, Clinton 16 (n=331)
Clinton 60%+: Trump 61, Clinton 38 (n=141)
If you want to really play around with small samples, Clinton >80% zip codes saw white evangelicals vote about the same as Clinton >60% zip codes (n=36). The handful of white evangelical respondents in Clinton >90% zip codes actually voted more Republican: Trump 78, Clinton 22.
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