Super Tuesday Results Thread (user search)
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  Super Tuesday Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Super Tuesday Results Thread  (Read 94499 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: March 03, 2020, 11:01:02 AM »
Quote from: Holmes on March 03, 2020, 10:59:35 AM
Quote from: 2016 on March 03, 2020, 10:38:01 AM
Vermont & Utah are the only TWO States, who won't have Exit Polling today. Every other State will have.

Sad

I understand VT, but I would've really liked an exit poll in UT.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2020, 11:19:43 AM »
Quote from: n1240 on March 03, 2020, 11:10:25 AM
Another California counting tidbit, all previous runs are accessible for Orange County dating back to 2016 - here's what the count looked like in the 2016 primary:

Initial run 7:49 pm June 7: Clinton 62.91% Sanders 35.93% (104808 votes)
Final election night run 2:11 am: Clinton 54.59% Sanders 44.49% (226639 votes)
Official results June 24 6:36 pm: Clinton 51.90% Sanders 47.26% (330595 votes)

https://www.ocvote.com/fileadmin/live/pri2016/Run%2001/cumulative.pdf

You can change the URL to view different elections/runs (e.g. pri2016 -> gen2018 or Run%2001 -> Run%2010)

While the initial results in 2016 were very unfavorable to Sanders, I'm not sure it's guaranteed to be that way this time. Sanders voters tended to be locked in from the beginning, whereas non-Sanders voters waited to see who would emerge from later primaries. This may be offset by how younger voters vote later as do many poorer voters. We'll have to see.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2020, 02:21:10 PM »
Quote from: Grassr00ts on March 03, 2020, 02:12:49 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 03, 2020, 02:08:00 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 03, 2020, 02:01:17 PM
Some 200 Democrats Abroad have already voted today in Vienna*:

https://www.derstandard.at/jetzt/livebericht/2000115280972/live-am-super-tuesday-laeuft-alles-auf-ein-duell-hinaus

* Vienna, Austria - not Vienna, Virginia.

Quote
VOTING CENTERS IN AUSTRIA:

Vote in Vienna | Super Tuesday
4–8PM, Tuesday, March 3, 2020
Frank's American Bar & Restaurant Laurenzerberg 2, 1010

Vote in Vienna | March 7
12–7PM, Saturday, March 7, 2020
Frank's American Bar & Restaurant Laurenzerberg 2, 1010

Americans in Vienna can vote at this fancy American restaurant, called FRANKs:



https://www.franks.at/en/about-us/gallery

Holy sh*t that's the Buttigieg wine cave.

I know it's an "out-of-touch rich people thing", but wine caves can be quite a cool experience.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2020, 02:38:38 PM »
Saw this concerning Boston turnout: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yZ6KNqOT29hyYiNIqoEcPEwhTDxGC3Z-DjiII9XTsi8/edit#gid=265520355

Turnout so far is highest relative to 2018 in Wards 2-5, 21, 22. That's the area immediately around Cambridge. Turnout is lowest in Wards 14, 15, and 18 which are in southern Boston.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2020, 02:45:22 PM »
Map of current wait times in Harris County, TX:

https://harrisvotes.com/Map?lang=en-US

Seems like the longest wait times are in white neighborhoods and maybe some Hispanic areas. Wait times go way down the further out you go.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2020, 04:37:57 PM »


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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: March 03, 2020, 04:42:43 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on March 03, 2020, 04:41:49 PM
Is there a Republican primary in Utah too?

Yes, and they have closed primaries.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: March 03, 2020, 04:55:43 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2020, 05:00:02 PM by Dr. RI »


Alumni Hall, Buford, and Venable are the three precincts closest to UVA.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: March 03, 2020, 05:07:32 PM »
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: March 03, 2020, 05:10:25 PM »
Seems fewer last minute deciders in NC relative to VA:
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: March 03, 2020, 05:13:09 PM »
72% support Medicare for All in Maine.

56% support Medicare for All in North Carolina.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: March 03, 2020, 05:13:50 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on March 03, 2020, 05:13:26 PM
Is there any exit poll info from Vermont or did they not do one?

No exit poll in VT or UT.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: March 03, 2020, 05:14:41 PM »
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: March 03, 2020, 05:16:21 PM »
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: March 03, 2020, 05:19:56 PM »
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #15 on: March 03, 2020, 05:23:13 PM »


2016 was:

63% White
26% Black
  7% Hispanic
  2% Asian
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #16 on: March 03, 2020, 05:24:43 PM »
Quote from: marty on March 03, 2020, 05:23:48 PM
That m4a number in mass is horrific for Bernie

Could they be less receptive due to Romneycare?

Quote from: Oryxslayer on March 03, 2020, 05:24:03 PM
Both VA and NC have 60-30ish White/AA divides according to CNN

VA only has 20% identifying as very liberal. NC 24%. NC though has more somewhat liberals, and also 12% saying they are Conservatives - Dixiecrats.

NC is a closed primary, so that's not unexpected. Lots of DINOs in west NC.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #17 on: March 03, 2020, 05:26:09 PM »


A lot of conservatives voting in both states.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #18 on: March 03, 2020, 05:27:29 PM »


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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #19 on: March 03, 2020, 05:28:33 PM »
Maine seems really good for Sanders so far.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #20 on: March 03, 2020, 05:34:05 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI on March 03, 2020, 05:13:09 PM
72% support Medicare for All in Maine.

56% support Medicare for All in North Carolina.

72% ME
62% NV
58% NH
57% IA
56% NC
54% MA
52% VA
49% SC
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #21 on: March 03, 2020, 05:38:51 PM »


Did Edison do a VT exit poll?
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #22 on: March 03, 2020, 05:39:55 PM »
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #23 on: March 03, 2020, 05:43:38 PM »
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,822


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #24 on: March 03, 2020, 05:45:33 PM »
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