Suffolk: FL/OH bellwether county polls: Scott +1 in Volusia; Brown +15 in Clark (user search)
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  Suffolk: FL/OH bellwether county polls: Scott +1 in Volusia; Brown +15 in Clark (search mode)
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Author Topic: Suffolk: FL/OH bellwether county polls: Scott +1 in Volusia; Brown +15 in Clark  (Read 3503 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« on: November 05, 2018, 12:04:06 PM »

https://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/11_5_2018_volusia_county_marginals.pdf

https://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/11_5_2018_clark_county_marginals.pdf
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2018, 08:50:58 PM »

If Scott's only winning Volusia by one he's in deep trouble.

A county Trump won by 13 and Scott is only "up" 1...yikes

Scott won it by 4 in 2014 while winning statewide by 1, so it's not an outlandish choice.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #2 on: November 15, 2018, 12:24:44 PM »

Scott ended up winning Volusia by 10 points. Brown lost Clark by 2 points. This is why you don't poll single counties, ladies and gents.
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