Nevada Democratic Caucus Result (user search)
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  Nevada Democratic Caucus Result (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Huh
#1
Clinton 65% and up		  
#2
Clinton 60-64%		  
#3
Clinton 55-59%		  
#4
Clinton 50-54%		  
#5
Sanders wins		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 75

Author Topic: Nevada Democratic Caucus Result  (Read 6964 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,823


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: February 12, 2016, 11:20:51 AM »
At this point, it would only be fair for Sanders to eke out a tiny win so that, going into Super Tuesday, both Clinton and Sanders have a narrow win and a 60%+ win.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,823


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2016, 02:55:02 PM »
Quote from: d32123 on February 12, 2016, 02:53:02 PM
Sanders would need NH-esque numbers with whites to win.  That's just not happening imo.

Why not? Mountain West white Dems are really, really liberal.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,823


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2016, 04:00:47 PM »
Most working class voters are voting for Trump, so I'd imagine whatever rump group leftover is more liberal than in 2008.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,823


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2016, 04:10:15 PM »
Quote from: Beet on February 12, 2016, 04:05:16 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 12, 2016, 04:00:47 PM
Most working class voters are voting for Trump, so I'd imagine whatever rump group leftover is more liberal than in 2008.

As of today, that literally is not true. Sanders got more working class white votes than Trump in the sum of the two states that voted so far.

How are you teasing that out of the exit polls? It's not like all whites who make before a certain threshold are "working class". In Iowa, at least, Trump's support was highly correlated with rates of typical working class employment.
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