March 10 Kansas + miscellaneous islands primary/caucus **results thread** (user search)
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  March 10 Kansas + miscellaneous islands primary/caucus **results thread** (search mode)
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Author Topic: March 10 Kansas + miscellaneous islands primary/caucus **results thread**  (Read 27119 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #25 on: March 10, 2012, 04:24:33 PM »
Romney's only at 20.9%. Could still fall below 20% potentially.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #26 on: March 10, 2012, 04:29:04 PM »
What's with southeast Kansas not holding caucuses?
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #27 on: March 10, 2012, 04:31:50 PM »
Wyandotte County slams Romney at 15%. Santorum almost at 60% there. No KC stronghold for Mitt.

Not a ton of votes though.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #28 on: March 10, 2012, 04:36:20 PM »
I don't know if anyone has noticed, but Uncommitted is actually fifth with 113 votes so far.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #29 on: March 10, 2012, 04:45:14 PM »
Two rural counties came in with Romney over 20%. He should be locked in now.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #30 on: March 10, 2012, 04:49:13 PM »
7 counties left. The only sizeable one is Douglas, where Paul should do well...maybe.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #31 on: March 10, 2012, 04:55:09 PM »
Santorum won Douglas with 37%. Paul was third with 22%. Paul fail.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #32 on: March 10, 2012, 04:58:13 PM »
Quote from: Torie on March 10, 2012, 04:56:06 PM
Quote from: Unofficial Southern Voter on March 10, 2012, 04:53:15 PM
can someone explain how the delegates would be different if Romney goes under 20 vs if he goes over 20? Did Romney pull out of KS in hopes that he wouldn't break 20?

If you are below 20%, you lose your proportional share of the 25 at large delegates, so if Mittens were held below 20%, he loses his 7 delegates, which is a fair amount of change. If Mittens knew it was going to be this tight, he would have dropped by Johnson County for a visit I suspect.

Not true. If Romney dropped below 20%, he would still get some at-large delegates, but so would Gingrich and Paul. With Romney above 20%, Gingrich and Paul don't get any.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #33 on: March 10, 2012, 05:36:58 PM »
Two counties left in Kansas, both on Colorado border.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #34 on: March 10, 2012, 06:11:41 PM »
Greeley County is in, and Santorum barely edged Romney there, of the 40 votes or so that were cast. Kansas is done.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #35 on: March 10, 2012, 08:02:18 PM »
« Edited: March 10, 2012, 08:04:27 PM by realisticidealist »
Virgin Island totals:

Uncommitted 130 (33.85%)
Paul 112 (29.17%)
Romney 101 (26.30%)
Santorum 23 (5.99%)
Gingrich 18 (4.69%)

That elected delegates as such: Paul 1, Uncom 2, and Romney 3. One of the Uncom delegates subsequently pledged for Romney.

If you go by only the highest totaling delegate for each candidate, you get:

Romney 41 (29.93%)
Uncommitted 37 (27.01%)
Paul 29 (21.17%)
Santorum 15 (10.95%)
Gingrich 15 (10.95%)
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #36 on: March 10, 2012, 08:07:41 PM »
The 2008 caucus was also much lower turnout and a largely ignored contest that occured after McCain always had essentially wrapped it up. Additionally, Romney had dropped out, so no one was splitting the conservative vote with Huckabee, unlike now where Gingrich took votes from Santorum.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #37 on: March 10, 2012, 08:27:16 PM »
One interesting thing about the Virgin Islands voting was that there was a strong divide between St. Croix and St. Thomas. Under either of the above metrics, Uncommitted won St. Croix, and Ron Paul won St. Thomas.

Total delegates split
St. Croix

Uncommitted 104 (44.64%)
Romney 78 (33.48%)
Paul 26 (11.16%)
Santorum 13 (5.58%)
Gingrich 12 (5.15%)

St. Thomas

Paul 86 (56.58%)
Uncommitted 27 (17.76%)
Romney 23 (15.13%)
Santorum 10 (6.58%)
Gingrich 6 (3.95%)

Highest delegate only split
St. Croix

Uncommitted 34 (36.17%)
Romney 27 (28.72%)
Gingrich 12 (12.77%)
Paul 11 (11.70%)
Santorum 10 (10.64%)

St. Thomas

Paul 18 (41.86%)
Romney 14 (32.56%)
Santorum 5 (11.63%)
Uncommitted 3 (6.98%)
Gingrich 3 (6.98%)
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