Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread (user search)
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  Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread  (Read 15538 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« on: February 29, 2012, 12:43:19 AM »

Nebraska, Arizona, Michigan.

The Nebraska corn is growing a little more golden.

The Arizona sun is shining a little brighter.

The Michigan auto industry is veritably humming along.

THE MITT EFFECT

Why are you talking about Nebraska?
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: February 29, 2012, 12:57:33 AM »

So what are the CD results?

Santorum definitely won CDs 2,3,4,6 and looks like he also secured CD 7.

Romney won CDs 8,9,11,12,14

I think Romney also pulled out wins in CDs 1, 5 and 10.

I think Romney won 13, but I wouldn't be so sure (seeing how well Santorum performed in Dem areas of Oakland County)...

When the first returns came in, which would be only GOP-registered absentee voters, Romney was winning Wayne County and Washtentow, each, with over 50%.  By the end of the night, that margin in Wayne was wheedled down to 41.6% -33.2% and, in Washtentow, it was only 41.8%-37.6%.  I think the difference is attributed to election day Dem voters pulling the lever for Santorum.  It can be presumed that much of Romney's margins came from GOP-leaning areas of Wayne County--Livonia, Grosse Pointe, etc... Could Santorum have actually won Dem-heavy CD 13?  How close was CD 12?

Oakland County doesn't give breakdowns of the distribution of votes in new CDs but Rick Santorum bested Romney in the old CD12 in Southern Oakland County (currently rep'ed by Levin).
 

According to the results the AP has up, Santorum leads in CDs 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, and 13. He also narrowly trails in CD 5. Two of those could realistically flip against Santorum as the vote totals are rather incomplete (10 and 13).
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #2 on: February 29, 2012, 01:49:29 AM »

Do you have a link...I guess Santorum did pull out CD1...I'm skeptical of wins for him in CDs 10 and 13...and CD 12 went to Romney for sure?

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_cd/MI_GOP_0228_VD.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS


As of right now, Santorum leads in 7 CDs: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7 and 13.  Romney leads in 7 CDs: 5, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 and 14.  MI-05 is very close, with Romney leading by 38 votes with 4% yet to report.  MI-10 flipped back to Romney.  MI-13 and MI-14 are the most incomplete.  As I said earlier, the Oakland County part of MI-14 is all in on their website.  Romney crushed Santorum in the Oakland part of MI-14, with more votes than the AP tally currently shows.

The most likely scenarios appear to be 8-6 Santorum, 8-6 Romney or a 7-7tie.  If it's 8-6 Santorum, I think the delegate take is tied, as Romney gets 2 delegates for winning the statewide vote.


Uh, if it's 8-6 Santorum, Rick gets 16 CD delegates and Romney gets 12 CD delegates plus two for statewide, giving Santorum a 16-14 win.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #3 on: February 29, 2012, 01:50:27 AM »


Are you on crack? There are no results that show that.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #4 on: February 29, 2012, 01:58:53 AM »
« Edited: February 29, 2012, 02:01:08 AM by realisticidealist »

If I'm not mistaken, Arizona is the first state where Romney has won ALL the counties.

Yes, that is true. It is the second overall monochromatic state after Missouri.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #5 on: February 29, 2012, 02:33:30 AM »
« Edited: February 29, 2012, 02:36:15 AM by realisticidealist »

Only redeeming part of the night was when Ann Romney said that she's been "up and down, all over the tip of the mitt", and Alex Castellanos's awkward reference to it later.
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