Maine results thread. (user search)
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  Maine results thread. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Maine results thread.  (Read 40745 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #25 on: February 18, 2012, 01:37:03 AM »
Updated official results by town: http://www.mainegop.com/mainegop_presprefpoll_021712.pdf

Romney 2,269 (39.03%)
Paul 2,030 (34.92%)
Santorum 1,052 (18.09%)
Gingrich 391 (6.73%)
Uncommitted 59 (1.01%)
Others 13 (0.22%)

Changes:
Romney +79 (-0.18%)
Paul +34 (-0.82%)
Santorum +63 (+0.38%)
Gingrich +42 (+0.48%)

I find it a bit odd that Paul gained the least of any of the candidates in this adjustment.
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RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #26 on: February 18, 2012, 02:02:48 AM »
Here's the updated results by county. The columns on the far right show the change for each candidate from the original results.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #27 on: February 18, 2012, 02:30:12 PM »
« Edited: February 18, 2012, 02:39:59 PM by realisticidealist »
The Hancock County caucus voted 41 Paul, Santorum 17, Romney 16, Gingrich 9, according to Bangor Daily News. The town of Clinton in Kennebec went 4 Paul, 2 Romney. Paul's gained 27 votes on Romney so far today.

If you ignore the double-counting of Paris, Paul needs about 2/3 of Washington County's attendees to win, though some more of Hancock is still out.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #28 on: February 18, 2012, 04:08:51 PM »
« Edited: February 18, 2012, 04:12:49 PM by realisticidealist »
Washington County Results (not including Pembroke which voted last week):

Paul 163
Romney 80
Santorum 57
Gingrich 4
Uncom 2

Romney still ahead of Paul by 125 votes. A few more places left to vote, but not enough for Paul to win most likely.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #29 on: February 18, 2012, 04:36:04 PM »
Paul won the Eastbrook combined caucus as well, but no numbers are out yet.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #30 on: February 18, 2012, 04:43:39 PM »
« Edited: February 18, 2012, 04:51:47 PM by realisticidealist »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 18, 2012, 04:41:27 PM
Quote from: argentarius on February 18, 2012, 04:40:24 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 18, 2012, 04:36:04 PM
Paul won the Eastbrook combined caucus as well, but no numbers are out yet.
Could the late caucus fiasco somehow give Paul a win? That would be hilarious.
Depends, how much of Washington is out still?

All of Washington County is in. Paul won't win, but it might be within 100 votes.

Update: Eastbrook had ~35 total votes cast.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #31 on: February 18, 2012, 06:02:43 PM »
Quote from: Dave Leip on February 18, 2012, 09:46:44 AM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 18, 2012, 02:02:48 AM
Here's the updated results by county. The columns on the far right show the change for each candidate from the original results.



They double counted Paris (Oxford County) - Paris and "South Paris" are identical - there is no Town of South Paris (in terms of county subdivision)...

I've got the Bangor Daily News looking into it.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #32 on: February 18, 2012, 06:36:04 PM »
Eastbrook voted 19 Paul, 8 Santorum, 7 Romney, 0 Gingrich. One more caucus will meet on March 3, but it will be only one small town.

Here are the up-to-date county results without the Paris double count:
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #33 on: February 19, 2012, 01:33:10 AM »
Quote from: Ben Kenobi on February 19, 2012, 01:30:31 AM
Uh, last I checked Santorum was winning among 'Conservative', and 'Very Conservative.'

But do go on about how 'Operation backdoor' is beating Romney.

As I predicted, the margin will narrow - but there's just not enough votes out there to beat Romney in Maine. Pity. 100+ vote margin in the NE? That's a loss.

Also good to see Santorum pushing 20 percent in Maine with Gingrich so far behind. He's basically gone up 8 points from NH.

Santorum's pretty much doubled his vote share from NH to ME.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #34 on: February 23, 2012, 05:04:35 PM »
Quote from: Reginald on February 23, 2012, 03:19:02 PM
... Are we still waiting for the official results here? There don't appear to be any updates from the past couple of days.

All but one of the towns have caucused. Then we have to wait for the Maine GOP to decide what to do with the latter results.
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