Florida county map prediction (user search)
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Author Topic: Florida county map prediction  (Read 3506 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« on: January 30, 2012, 08:01:10 PM »

I will do one... is this one of those where you put it in paint and work it out that way?

Yes.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,825


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2012, 12:34:57 AM »

I wouldn't be too surprised to see Santorum win a couple of Panhandle counties, and I also imagine Romney will win a few random counties up there due to a Santorum/Gingrich vote split. Romney definitely carries Leon County, too- BRTD has that right, though I'd put the margin as >40% unless Ron Paul has a really good showing from FSU (I wouldn't be surprised).

Romney certainly carries the Jacksonville area again, and he'll probably do pretty well throughout much of the I-4 corridor. Gingrich certainly wins Miami, though, if PPP's racial crosstabs are accurate.


I think Mason-Dixon had different results for the Cubans, but I can't remember for sure, so many polls, so short a time.

PPP has consistently had Gingrich winning Cubans with 40%+ of the vote.
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