Politics Fan
Jr. Member
Posts: 531
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« on: August 29, 2021, 08:03:26 PM » |
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I actually don’t think recall will even get to 60% in Orange County either. OC has changed a lot since 2004 and you have a much larger contingent of white liberals that probably vote to back Newsom. I kind of expect recall to only win OC by 8 to 10 percent.
I think the biggest factor working against recall is the fact while you probably have more than 50% of voters disliking Newsom you probably have an even greater amount of voters that don’t want a Republican in office. This spells trouble for the recall campaign seeing how the most likely alternative is a Republican. I wouldn’t be shocked if undecideds break heavy for remain and recall fails by more than 10% for this very reason.
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