Northern Ireland Assembly Elections: May 2017? (user search)
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  Northern Ireland Assembly Elections: May 2017? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Northern Ireland Assembly Elections: May 2017?  (Read 12062 times)
Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
andrewteale
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« on: March 03, 2017, 08:02:31 PM »

NI Assembly update: Three constituencies are still counting.

EAST LONDONDERRY
Ind (Sugden) and 2 DUP elected
Tenth count, quota 6979, two seats left
Archibald  SF  6320
Dallat  SDLP  5443
Ó hOisín  SF  5221
There are only Unionist votes left to transfer so Dallat should be safe for the final seat.

BELFAST EAST
2 All, 1 DUP and 1 UUP elected.  The final count is between the two remaining DUP candidates so this will finish 2 All 2 DUP 1 UUP.

BELFAST SOUTH
1 SF, 1 SDLP and 1 All already elected
Seventh count, quota 7176, 2 seats left
Bailey  Grn  6344
Stalford  DUP  4726
Little Pengelly  DUP  4695
Henderson  UUP  4647
The next stage is to transfer an Alliance surplus of 514, after which one of the Unionist candidates will be eliminated.  The most likely outcome for the final two seats is Grn/DUP.

The most likely outcome for the five remaining seats is 2 DUP 1 SF 1 SDLP 1 Grn, which makes an Assembly of DUP 28 SF 27 SDLP 12 UUP 10 Alliance 8 Grn 2 and 1 each TUV/PBP/Sugden, or alternatively Unionists 40 (including Sugden) Nationalists 39 Others 11.
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