Morning Consult: Biden +12% (phone)/+10% (online) (user search)
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  Morning Consult: Biden +12% (phone)/+10% (online) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult: Biden +12% (phone)/+10% (online)  (Read 766 times)
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,426
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW
« on: September 21, 2020, 06:58:21 AM »

So no shy Trump vote then. Big surprise.

Anyway, why did they sit on this for a week.

Honestly, only post-RBG polls will suffice at this point. I still have no idea how her passing will affect this race. Hoping that it won't make much of a difference, but I fear the worst.
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BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,426
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW
« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2020, 01:09:42 PM »

So no shy Trump vote then. Big surprise.

Anyway, why did they sit on this for a week.

Honestly, only post-RBG polls will suffice at this point. I still have no idea how her passing will affect this race. Hoping that it won't make much of a difference, but I fear the worst.

Why do you fear it will change the election when basically nothing so far has? This race has been remarkably stable and consistent for a very long time, and now even the voting has begun. It’s all but over. Plus, RBG dying spurred Democrats to smash records and donate millions of dollars, not Republicans. If anything it will energize Dems, not Rs. Voters fear a loss more than they crave a gain, so RBG dying is a totally different beast than Scalia dying. Basically the opposite.
Well, I certainly think there's a very solid chance that nothing changes, just like other events basically haven't had any noticable impact on the race. I am concerned about the following:

- NeverTrumpers and ReluctantTrumpers being reminded that this is a generational chance to overturn Roe v Wade.

- Senate republicans seeing strengthened turnout.

- Dumbass leftists thinking that now that the supreme court is lost they might as well go full accelerationist, like the stupid thread in the main 2020 forum today.

- Trump actually succeeding in getting his nomination confirmed increases his chances of outright stealing the election by declaring that election night results should hold and further mail-in ballots shouldn't be counted, hence throwing the election to the courts.

But yeah, I am a bedwetting liberal.
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